Wednesday, August 22, 2012

Keep Letting Those Dogs Out, Willard

Latest NBC/WSJ poll has President Obama up 48-44 over Mitt Romney, suggesting zero campaign bounce from Paul Ryan.

After Mitt Romney selected his vice presidential running mate, and just days before the political conventions kick off next week, President Barack Obama maintains his advantage in the race for the White House, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

A Democratic ticket featuring Obama and Vice President Joe Biden gets support from 48 percent of registered voters, and a Republican ticket of Romney and new running mate Paul Ryan gets 44 percent.

These numbers are only slightly changed from July, when Obama led Romney by six points in the survey, 49 percent to 43 percent, suggesting a minimal bounce for Romney (if at all) after this month’s Ryan pick.

Ahh, but the killer stuff is in the crosstabs.

  • Congress's approval rating is 12%, tying the all time low.
  • President Obama's likeability is at 48%, 38% for Mittens.
  • 47% of Americans want Congress controlled by the Dems, the highest number since April 09.
  • The Ryan effect: 22% more likely to vote for Romney because of him, 23% less, 54% don't care.
  • Obama crushes Mitt on women's issues, with 52% saying he'd be better to Mitt's 24%.
  • Mitt does win the economy still, 44-38%.
More info on the poll:

Looking inside the numbers, Obama continues to lead Romney among key parts of his political base, including African Americans (94 percent to 0 percent), Latinos (by a 2-to-1 margin), voters under 35-years-old (52 percent to 41 percent) and women (51 percent to 41 percent).

Romney is ahead with whites (53 percent to 40 percent), rural voters (47 percent to 38 percent) and seniors (49 percent to 41 percent).

And the two presidential candidates are essentially even when it comes to the swing groups of suburban voters, Midwest residents and political independents.

94 to 0 on black voters.  As in "Of the 12% of the 1000 people we polled who were black, or 120, rthe number of people who said they would vote for Mitt Romney was either 0 or 1."

That 13 point lead with white voters?  Yeah, that's enough to keep Mitt in the game, however.

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