"Barack Obama is doomed. Mitt Romney will win this election running away, and anyone who says otherwise is a liberal moron in the tank for Obama. I don't care if the polls show Obama ahead, I don't care what Nate Silver thinks, I have my own model and it shows he gets crushed. So suck it, doomed libtards! I HAVE SPOKEN."
--Jim Pethokoukis
Bonus Verbatim Stupid:
Reading [political scientist Douglas] Hibb’s entire paper, I get the sense he is not thrilled with what his model is telling him. He even mentions that he’s a big fan of betting markets, and they show an Obama win. But the model says what it says — even he kind of gently suggests Romney is another stiff, just like Dole and Gore.
Hibbs indeed at Romney winning by 5 points based solely on economic and war conditions (the "bread and peace" index, Hibbs calls it.) But Hibbs also admits this model may not apply here in the first hyper-internet, Twitter-saturated, mutliple news cycle per day election with unlimited SuperPAC money.
Funny how that works. Into the Future Stupidity files you go, Jimmy.
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